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江苏省数字经济与林业高质量发展的耦合协调分析

Coupling Coordination between Digital Economy and High-quality Development of the Forestry Sector in Jiangsu Province

  • 摘要: 以江苏省2013-2022年相关统计数据为基础,构建了涵盖创新驱动、协调平衡、绿色生态、开放合作、共享惠民、数字普及6个维度12个指标的林业高质量发展评价体系,以及新基础设施、产业数字化、数字产业化3个维度5个指标的数字经济评价体系。运用熵值法确定指标权重,通过综合评价模型测算两系统发展指数,并采用耦合协调度模型分析二者的互动关系。研究结果表明:(1)两系统综合发展水平均呈稳步上升趋势,但数字经济增速快于林业,二者存在发展不同步现象;(2)两系统耦合度保持高位稳定,协调度从2013年的0.326提升至2022年的0.897,实现了"失调-协调-良好协调"的三阶段跨越,协同效应不断增强;(3)林业系统内部发展不均衡,绿色生态维度表现优异,而创新驱动与开放合作维度相对薄弱,成为制约高质量发展的主要短板。为理解数字经济与林业高质量发展的互动关系提供了省域尺度的实证依据,对推动江苏省乃至类似地区实现"数字绿业"协同发展、服务乡村振兴与中国式现代化具有参考价值。最后,从强化数字赋能、优化产业结构、完善协同机制等方面提出政策建议。

     

    Abstract: Using the relevant statistical data of Jiangsu Province from 2013 to 2022, this paper constructs two evaluation systems: one for high-quality forestry development, covering 6 dimensions with 12 indicators, namely innovation-driven development, coordinated balance, green ecology, open cooperation and shared benefits for the people, and digital popularization, as well as a digital economy evaluation system covering 3 dimensions and 5 indicators, namely new infrastructure, industrial digitalization and digital industrialization. The entropy method was employed to determine indicator weights, a comprehensive evaluation model was used to calculate the development indices of the two systems, and a coupling coordination degree model was applied to analyze the interaction between them. The findings reveal that: (1) The comprehensive development levels of both systems show a steady upward trend, but the digital economy grows faster than the forestry sector, indicating asynchronous development between the two. (2) The coupling degree between the two systems remains consistently high and stable, while the coordination degree increased from 0.326 in 2013 to 0.897 in 2022, achieving a three-stage transition from imbalance to coordination to sound coordination," with a continuously strengthening synergistic effect. (3) Development within the forestry system is uneven; the dimension of green ecology performs well, whereas the dimensions of innovation-driven development and openness and cooperation are relatively weak, constituting the primary shortcomings constraining high-quality development. This study would provide a provincial-scale empirical basis for understanding the interactive relationship between the digital economy and high-quality forestry development, offering valuable insights for promoting synergistic development of "digital green forertry" in Jiangsu Province and similar regions, and for serving rural revitalization and Chinese-style modernization. Finally, policy recommendations are proposed in terms of strengthening digital empowerment, optimizing industrial structure, and improving coordination mechanisms.

     

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