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数字普惠金融对京津冀地区城乡收入差距的影响研究

Impact of Digital Inclusive Finance on Urban-Rural Income Gap in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

  • 摘要: 缩小城乡收入差距是新时代实现共同富裕和推动京津冀协同发展的重要议题。基于2014—2022年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)京津冀地区2 846个微观观测,匹配北京大学县域数字普惠金融指数,构建双向固定效应模型,系统检验了数字普惠金融发展对居民家庭人均收入的影响及其作用机制。研究发现:第一,数字普惠金融发展能够显著提升京津冀地区居民的家庭人均收入,且对乡村居民的促进作用约为城镇居民的2倍,呈现明显的“益贫”特征,进而有助于缩小京津冀地区的城乡收入差距;第二,三类稳健性检验(替换被解释变量、采用核心变量二阶滞后、剔除2020年疫情样本)以及基于Bartik工具变量法的内生性检验均支持上述结论;第三,机制检验表明数字普惠金融通过推动乡村居民由传统农业部门向非农就业或自主创业部门转移进而提升家庭收入水平,就业转型在其中发挥了显著的中介传导作用。结论为协同推进京津冀地区数字普惠金融发展、促进乡村非农就业以缩小城乡收入差距提供了微观经验证据。

     

    Abstract: Narrowing the urban-rural income gap is a critical issue for achieving common prosperity and advancing coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH) region in the new era. Based on 2 846 micro-level observations from the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS) in the BTH region during 2014—2022, matched with the Peking University Digital Inclusive Finance Index at the county level, this study constructs a two-way fixed effects model to systematically examine the impact of digital inclusive finance development on household per capita income and its underlying mechanisms. The findings are as follows: First, digital inclusive finance development significantly increases household per capita income in the BTH region, with the promoting effect on rural residents being approximately twice that on urban residents, exhibiting a distinct pro-poor characteristic that contributes to narrowing the urban-rural income gap. Second, three types of robustness checks, using alternative dependent variables, employing two-period lags of core variables, and excluding the 2020 pandemic sample, together with endogeneity tests by the Bartik instrumental variable approach, all support the above conclusions. Third, mechanism analysis reveals that digital inclusive finance enhances household income by facilitating rural residents' transition from traditional agricultural sectors to non-agricultural employment or self-employment,with employment transformation playing a significant mediating role in this process. These conclusions provide micro-level empirical evidence for collaboratively advancing digital inclusive finance development in the BTH region and promoting rural non-agricultural employment to narrow the urban-rural income gap.

     

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