数字普惠金融赋能林业产值增长的影响效应和机制研究
Effect of Digital Inclusive Finance on Forestry Output Growth
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摘要: 在新发展阶段背景下,系统厘清数字普惠金融发展促进林业总产值提升的理论逻辑与实现路径,为推动林业高质量发展和实现生态文明建设目标提供经验证据。基于2011—2022年31个省份面板数据,构建双向固定效应模型,系统检验数字普惠金融对林业总产值的影响效应及其作用路径。研究结果表明:数字普惠金融覆盖广度和使用深度对林业总产值没有显著影响,但数字化程度对林业总产值有显著正面影响,且该结论在多种稳健性检验下依然成立。机制分析进一步发现,林业创新水平和劳均林业产值是普惠金融数字化程度提高林业总产值的重要传导路径。异质性分析显示,在西部地区以及林地面积大的省份,普惠金融数字化程度对林业总产值的促进效应更为显著。基于上述结论,在推进林业高质量发展的过程中,应立足区域差异,稳步完善数字普惠金融体系,着力提升金融数字化水平,强化其对林业创新能力和劳均林业产值提升的引导作用,从而更好地满足林业多元化发展需求,推动林业产业转型升级与可持续发展。Abstract: Against the backdrop of the new development stage, this paper systematically clarifies the theoretical logic and implementation pathways through which the development of digital inclusive finance promotes the growth of total forestry output value, providing empirical evidence for advancing high-quality forestry development and achieving the goals of ecological civilization construction. Based on panel data of 31 provinces from 2011 to 2022, a two-way fixed effects model is constructed to systematically test the impact of digital inclusive finance on total forestry output value and its functioning pathways. The research results show that the coverage breadth and usage depth of digital inclusive finance have no significant impact on total forestry output value, while the degree of digitalization has a significant positive impact on total forestry output value, and this conclusion remains valid after various robustness tests. Further mechanism analysis reveals that the level of forestry innovation and forestry output value per labor are important transmission paths through which the digitalization degree of digital inclusive finance enhances total forestry output value. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that the promoting effect of the digitalization degree of digital inclusive finance on total forestry output value is more significant in western regions and provinces with large forest land areas. Based on the above conclusions, in the process of promoting high-quality forestry development, we should, based on regional differences, steadily improve the digital inclusive finance system, focus on enhancing the level of financial digitalization, and strengthen its guiding role in improving forestry innovation capacity and forestry output value per labor, so as to better meet the diversified development needs of forestry and promote the transformation, upgrading and sustainable development of the forestry industry.
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