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市场型环境规制对包容性绿色增长的影响研究——基于碳排放权交易政策的经验证据

Impact of Market-oriented Environmental Regulations on Inclusive Green Growth——Empirical Evidence Based on Carbon Emission Trading Policies

  • 摘要: 碳排放权交易政策是市场型环境规制的重要抓手,包容性绿色增长(IGG)则是致力于追求经济增长、环境友好和社会公平协同共进的可持续发展方式,碳排放权交易政策能否实现经济、社会、环境三大维度包容性绿色增长仍待进一步检验。基于2007—2022年中国30个省份面板数据构建多维IGG指数,运用双重差分模型、中介效应模型、空间杜宾双重差分模型等方法分析碳排放权交易政策对IGG的影响、作用机制及溢出效应。研究发现,碳排放权交易能够显著促进试点地区IGG水平提升且政策效应渐进持续。机制分析表明,外商投资与绿色技术创新在碳排放权交易政策促进IGG的过程中构成关键传导路径。进一步分析发现,IGG在省域间呈现空间正相关性,政策通过“涓滴”效应与“极化”效应促进邻近地区IGG协同提升。研究成果不仅有助于科学识别碳排放权交易政策与IGG之间的因果关系,亦能为设计兼具提升IGG水平的碳排放权交易机制以及促进经济可持续发展提供有益借鉴。

     

    Abstract: The pilot policy of carbon emissions trading is an important lever for market -oriented environmental regulation, while inclusive green growth (IGG) is a sustainable development approach that aims to pursue economic growth, environmental friendliness, and social equity. Whether carbon trading can achieve inclusive green growth in the three dimensions of economy, society, and environment still needs further testing. We construct a multidimensional IGG index based on panel data from 30 provinces in China from 2007 to 2022, and use the difference in differences method to analyze the impact of carbon trading on IGG. The results show that carbon trading can significantly promote the improvement of IGG levels in pilot areas and the policy effects are gradually sustained. Foreign investment and green technology innovation constitute a key transmission path in the process of promoting IGG through carbon trading. IGG shows spatial positive correlation among provinces, and policies promote the synergistic improvement of IGG in neighboring areas through the “trickle down” effect and “polarization” effect. The results not only help to scientifically identify the causal relationship between carbon trading and IGG, but also provide useful references for promoting sustainable economic development.

     

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