Abstract: The systematic evaluation of the ecological resilience of a national park is of great significance to the ecological risk prevention and ecological security maintenance of the nature park system.The ecological resilience evaluation index system of national parks is constructed based on the framework of DPSIR,the entropy weight TOPSIS method is used to measure the ecological resilience of Shennongjia National Park and the composite scores of each criterion layer,the obstacle model is used to analyze the obstruction factors of ecological resilience,and the future development trend of ecological resilience is identified through the grey prediction model.The results show that the ecological resilience of Shennongjia National Park is generally increasing from2004 to 2022,especially in 2014 and later.From the dimension of the criterion layer,the driver layer and the response layer are the core barriers to ecological resilience,while the pressure layer has the lowest barrier;from the dimension of the factor layer,the afforestation area,financial and scientific and technological expenditures,the transformation of the industrial structure,the natural growth rate of the population,and the total output value of the forestry industry are the key constraints on the enhancement of ecological resilience.The gray prediction results show that the ecological resilience of Shennongjia National Park is steadily increasing from 2023 to 2027,largely continuing the upward trajectory from 2004 to 2022.This paper aims to provide reference for the comprehensive evaluation of the ecological resilience of China’s national parks,and to provide inspiration and ideas for promoting the modernization of China’s national park governance system and governance capacity.