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吉林省新型城镇化与乡村振兴协调发展的时空演变及影响因素研究

Spatial-temporal Evolution and Driving Mechanisms of Coupling and Coordinated Development between New-type Urbanization and Rural Revitalization in Jilin Province

  • 摘要: 以吉林省9个地级市作为研究对象,分别构建新型城镇化和乡村振兴指标体系,采用面板熵值法、耦合协调度模型、灰色关联度分析,探析2013—2022年两系统协调发展时空特征、影响因素。结果表明:(1)吉林省新型城镇化和乡村振兴水平整体逐年提升,乡村振兴速度远大于城镇化速度,但是地区之间差异较大;(2)长春市、吉林市等GDP较高的地区新型城镇化和乡村振兴耦合协调水平较高;吉林省新型城镇化和乡村振兴耦合协调度整体呈上升趋势,2017年以后政策有所受益,地区差距在缩小,2022年全省耦合协调度处于0.697(均值),长春市进入优质协调阶段;(3)基础设施水平及产业结构是主要影响因素,政府调控与经济驱动是次要因素;因此,提出要进一步优化城乡空间结构,加强产业横向联系,促进公共服务均等化,加强生态协调联动等策略,助推吉林省新型城镇化与乡村振兴高质量融合发展。

     

    Abstract: This study examines the nine prefecture-level cities in Jilin Province,constructing separate indicator systems for new urbanization and rural revitalization.Using the panel entropy method,a coupling coordination degree model,and grey relational analysis,it investigates the spatio-temporal characteristics and influencing factors of the coordinated development between the two systems from2013 to 2022.The results indicate that:(1) The levels of new urbanization and rural revitalization in Jilin Province have generally increased year by year,with the pace of rural revitalization significantly outstripping that of urbanization;however,substantial regional disparities persist.(2) Regions with higher GDP,such as Changchun and Jilin City,exhibit a higher degree of coupling coordination between new urbanization and rural revitalization.Overall,the coupling coordination degree in Jilin Province shows an upward trend,with policy benefits becoming more apparent after 2017 and regional gaps gradually narrowing.By 2022,the average coupling coordination degree reached 0.697,with Changchun City entering a stage of high-quality coordination.(3) Infrastructure level and industrial structure are identified as primary influencing factors,while government regulation and economic drivers serve as secondary factors.Accordingly,strategies such as optimizing the urban-rural spatial structure,strengthening horizontal industrial linkages,promoting equalization of public services,and enhancing ecological coordination are proposed to facilitate the high-quality integrated development of new urbanization and rural revitalization in Jilin Province.

     

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