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农商行零售贷款业务风险的影响因素研究——以XJ农商银行为例

Influencing Factors of Retail Loan Business Risks in Rural Commercial Banks——A Case Study of XJ Rural Commercial Bank

  • 摘要: 聚焦于农商行零售贷款风险防控问题,鉴于现有研究存在的不足以及XJ农商银行的发展实际状况,首先阐释了农商行零售贷款、风险防控等相关概念及现代投资组合理论、信用评分模型理论等基础理论。接着以XJ农商行为研究对象,分析目前其在零售贷款风险管理方面的现状,并对该行零售贷款业务风险影响因素进行实证分析。研究可知,影响违约风险的因素包括三大类,分别是借款人的个体特征、借款人的还款能力以及贷款相关条款。最后,结合XJ农商行的实际情况和市场环境,提出强化贷前准入管理、降低客户偿债压力、构建全周期风控体系和增强风险缓释能力的风险防控举措。以期为XJ农商行及其他农商行有效防控零售贷款风险提供理论参考与实践指导。

     

    Abstract: This paper focuses on the risk prevention and control of retail loans in rural commercial banks. In view of the deficiencies in existing research and the actual development situation of XJ Rural Commercial Bank, it first explains the relevant concepts such as retail loans of rural commercial banks and risk prevention and control, as well as basic theories such as modern portfolio theory and credit scoring model theory. Then, taking XJ Rural Commercial Bank as the research object, it analyzes the current situation of its retail loan risk management and makes an empirical analysis of the influencing factors of the bank's retail loan business risks. The result shows that the factors affecting default risk include three categories: the individual characteristics of borrowers, the repayment ability of borrowers, and loan-related terms. Finally, combined with the actual situation of XJ Rural Commercial Bank and the market environment, it puts forward risk prevention and control measures such as strengthening pre-loan access management, reducing customer debt service pressure, constructing a full-cycle risk control system, and enhancing risk mitigation capabilities. This study would provide theoretical reference and practical guidance for XJ Rural Commercial Bank and other rural commercial banks in effectively preventing and controlling retail loan risks.

     

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