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傅乐乐, 苏建兰. 中国竹林碳汇量测算及其潜力预测[J]. 中国林业经济, 2023, (3): 96-102. DOI: 10.13691/j.cnki.cn23-1539/f.2023.03.018
引用本文: 傅乐乐, 苏建兰. 中国竹林碳汇量测算及其潜力预测[J]. 中国林业经济, 2023, (3): 96-102. DOI: 10.13691/j.cnki.cn23-1539/f.2023.03.018
FU Le-le, SU Jian-lan. Calculation of Carbon Sink of Bamboo Forest in China and Its Potential Prediction[J]. China Forestry Economics, 2023, (3): 96-102. DOI: 10.13691/j.cnki.cn23-1539/f.2023.03.018
Citation: FU Le-le, SU Jian-lan. Calculation of Carbon Sink of Bamboo Forest in China and Its Potential Prediction[J]. China Forestry Economics, 2023, (3): 96-102. DOI: 10.13691/j.cnki.cn23-1539/f.2023.03.018

中国竹林碳汇量测算及其潜力预测

Calculation of Carbon Sink of Bamboo Forest in China and Its Potential Prediction

  • 摘要: 基于全国森林资源清查报告统计数据,采用平均生物量法核算竹林固碳量及其动态变化情况,运用灰色预测模型预测未来五个统计期竹林碳汇潜力。结果显示,我国竹林固碳量从第四次清查期间的 11 173.05 万t升至第九次清查期间 18 925.73万t,净增 7 752.68万t,增长率达69.39%;从不同行政区域看,竹林固碳量差异明显,其中以华东地区最大;从不同省份看,福建、江西、浙江、湖南四省的竹林固碳量较多;全国竹林碳汇潜力较大,截至2030年,全国竹林碳汇潜力达 31 041.01万t,将实现1.59%的碳减排贡献。基于上述研究结果,提出了挖掘竹林碳汇潜力的对策建议。

     

    Abstract: Based on the national forest inventory report,this study used the average biomass method to calculate the carbon sequestration value of bamboo forests and its dynamic changes,and used the gray prediction model to predict the carbon sink potential of bamboo forests in the next five statistical periods.The results showed that the amount of carbon sequestered in bamboo forests in China rose from 111 730 500 tons in the fourth inventory to 189 257 300 tons in the ninth inventory,with a net increase of 77 526 800 tons and a growth rate of 69.39%.Besides,it also showed that the amount of carbon sequestered in bamboo forests varied significantly from different administrative regions with the largest amount in East China,and the amount of carbon sequestered in bamboo forests was higher in Fujian,Jiangxi,Zhejiang and Hunan provinces from different provinces.Thirdly,it showed that the national bamboo forest carbon sink potential was large,and the national bamboo forest carbon sink potential would reach 310 410 100 tons by 2030,which would achieve 1.59% of carbon emission reduction contribution.Based on the above research results,it proposed countermeasures for tapping the carbon sink potential of bamboo forests to achieve the maximum effectiveness of the value of bamboo forest carbon sinks and help China achieve its carbon peak and carbon neutral strategic goals as scheduled.

     

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